California voters will weigh 14 statewide propositions in the November midterm election, and one of the most closely watched is Proposition 1. The measure would authorize $11 billion in bonds for affordable housing, a response to a crisis that Housing Trust Silicon Valley says affects more than a million households.
Prop 1 is a bond measure, not a direct tax on individuals. If approved, the state would issue $11 billion in bonds and use the money to finance construction through grants and low-interest loans. Local jurisdictions and private developers would be eligible for funding.
According to NBC Bay Area political contributor Guy Marzorati, the core problem is supply. “There's not enough affordable housing in the state, there's not enough supply. This would help with that,” he said.
The bond also includes $1 billion specifically for veterans' housing assistance. Under that portion, repayment would be tied to homeowners, unlike the rest of the bond, which would be repaid from the state general fund.
Housing Trust Silicon Valley CFO Julie Mahowald said the need is urgent. The group says half of renters are spending more than 30% of their income on rent, a standard measure of cost burden.
“It's a huge crisis, and statewide as well. There are over a million households, people struggling to find affordable housing in the state.”
Mahowald said about 40,000 affordable housing units are ready to start construction as soon as funding is available. “They're ready to put shovels in the ground, but we need this money,” she said.
Not everyone supports the bond. The Silicon Valley Taxpayers Association argues that if affordable housing were a true priority, lawmakers would have funded it in the state budget instead of sending it to voters.
Association President Mark Hinkle also warned about the long-term cost of debt. “Bonds are the equivalent to a mortgage. By the time you actually pay it off, it's double the cost,” he said. The group says adding debt during a budget deficit is risky.
California has some of the highest housing costs in the nation, and the Bay Area is a focal point of the crisis. Housing Trust Silicon Valley, based in the region, says the bond would be a “huge shot in the arm” for working families. If the measure passes, money would flow to local jurisdictions and developers across the state, including high-cost areas like the Bay Area.
Affordable housing has been a persistent issue in California for decades. A combination of high land costs, restrictive zoning, and limited public funding has left supply far behind demand. Proposition 1 is one of 14 ballot measures this cycle, covering topics from the environment to taxes. The decision by lawmakers to place the housing bond on the ballot rather than in the budget has become a central debate.
Proposition 1 asks voters to make a generational investment in affordable housing. Supporters see it as a way to break ground on thousands of units quickly. Opponents see it as an expensive borrowing plan that avoids difficult budget choices. The final decision rests with California voters on Nov. 3.